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Saturday 14 March 2009

Manchester United vs Liverpool (1-4) Analysis

Long-ball Liverpool Lucky As Title Race Heats Up

"Manchester United were destroyed by Liverpool". That's what the score line suggests anyway. The truth of the matter is this was an evenly fought game in which the rub of the green and the bounce of the ball almost literally made the difference.

Manchester United took the lead in the first half when Carlos Tevez poked a majestic through ball in to Ji-Sung Park in the Liverpool area. The South Korean got a touch of the ball, a heavy touch, and was never going to keep the ball in play. This doesn't change the fact the Pepe Reina clattered into Park late and fouled him. A penalty was the right decision and Ronaldo dispatched coolly.



Liverpool then secured a most unflattering equalizer. A clearance turned assist from the Liverpool defense bounced awkwardly for Nemanja Vidic after he opted against a first time header away. This let Fernando Torres steal the ball away from the usually rock solid Serb and slot smartly past van der Sar - although the big Dutchman did get a touch sending the ball perilously close to the far post.



No complaints about Liverpool's 2nd goal. A through ball to Steven Gerrard was misjudged by Patrice Evra who was forced to dive in recklessly from behind on the Liverpool captain conceding a sloppy penalty. Gerrard stepped up and placed the ball into his less preferred right hand side of the net van der Sar again getting a touch.



At half time, I was annoyed to have seen Rio Ferdinand booked for a nothing tackle and Mascherano and Lucas evade booking despite 3 or 4 rash challenges each. They say referees are judged on the big decisions they make, I think Alan Wiley allowed the Liverpool holding midfielders to break up United attacks on many occasions - more of then not illegally. This took the fluidity out of the Champions game and never really allowed Ronaldo, Rooney and Tevez to find their rhythm.

Manchester United began turning the screw in the second half and looked like they could secure a big draw. Skrtel and Mascherano had joined Carragher in Wiley's yellow card book and the Old Trafford crowd were coming alive. Liverpool still posed threats on the break through the pace of Torres but never really looked like scoring again. Sir Alex Ferguson brought on the experienced trio of Scholes, Giggs and Berbatov for Park, Carrick and Anderson but within minuites United were on ten men. Nemanja Vidic was adjudged to be the last man when he brough down Steven Gerrard just outside the United penalty area. At the time it looked like the right decision and I've seen nothing to change my mind since.
The worse was still to come for Manchester United as Fabio Aurelio stepped up to dispatch the free kick beautifully - van der Sar left rooted to the spot. It was an unstoppable strike but I can't help thinking United's keeper got his wall placing all wrong. Aurelio's ability to find the top corner rendered his wall's jumping useless and meant 25% of the goal was an open target. Perhaps United weren't aware of Aurelio's set piece abilities and had only prepared for Gerrard's free kicks?



The final insult to injury was added by Dossena in the 90th minuite when he elegantly looped a long ball over the advancing van der Sar with his first touch. The Italian rounded of a performance engineered solely towards winning a football match, neglecting the fluidity of football.


But the Liverpool fans seemed overjoyed with their long ball football and seemed to enjoy winning ugly.

Manchester United vs Liverpool

Preview

An unusually high amount of media mind-games has fueled what some are calling a top of the table 6 pointer, but most are calling the title decider. Not a title decider in the sense that the winner of the match will win the League, rather "decider" in the sense that if Liverpool lose, their race is over. Over-rated moan man Rafa Benitez himself has said "If we don't win it will be very difficult to win the title. If we want to be in the title race we have to win at Old Trafford". A win for Manchester United would see the Champions go 10 points clear of Liverpool with a game in hand. That's potentially a 13 point gap with 9 games to go. Perhaps a loss will do Rafa Benitez a favour and pre-vindicate the shocking team selections he is likely to make in the League next month ahead of Liverpool's Champions League games. A Liverpool win would put them 4 points behind United and would add pressure to the Red Devils' already tricky game-in-hand at Craven Cottage.
Both sides know that Chelsea play their weekend game tomorrow vs hit-and-miss Manchester City in what should be an unpredictable encounter. Points tomorrow are not guaranteed for the Blues so both Ferguson and Benitez would love to register 3 points today and put their feet up tomorrow.
Liverpool have dropped 14 points on the road this season whilst United have dropped just 2 at home. United have also only conceded 5 goals at home and have racked up 11 successive League wins.
Liverpool are without Agger and Benayoun though Gerrard and Torres are both match fit.
Manchester United have no new concerns but are still without Neville, Rafael, Brown and Hargreaves - O'Shea likely to keep his right back position.
Like I say in all big games - don't be surprised to see Ji-Sung Park in the starting lineup. His high work rate and defensive awareness has him in Sir Alex's good books. Carlos Tevez and Anderson are both being slated for starts, though I don't see why Ferguson would waver from the solid Carrick and Scholes partnership. Wayne "I hate Liverpool" Rooney seems fired up for this encounter and given his recent run of goals he is a must to start. Evra, Ferdinand and Vidic will join O'Shea at the back with van der Sar hoping to produce another clean sheet behind them. The final position will be taken by either Berbatov or Tevez - respectively the provider and scorer of United's goal vs. Liverpool earlier this season. I haven't seen enough from Berbatov of late to show that he will take his one chance if it falls to him - though his first touch and footwork midweek was immense. Carlos Tevez's West Ham saga is reportedly and finally over - allowing him to focus on his football and his new contract. This could be the perfect time for Sir Alex to show faith in the Argentine. Also, I believe Tevez will offer more wide support for Park (if picked), compared to Berbatov who is more inclined to stay central, hold up the ball and distribute out wide.
Throw your stat books out the window, anyone can win this. As far as United are concerned, Carrick will have to be at the top of his game to avoid being squeezed into a Gerrard-Alonso sandwich. He and Scholes will be key to keeping Manchester United's game flowing and to unleash the wide men.

Prediction

Manchester United 2 - 0 Liverpool

Thursday 12 March 2009

Champions League : Final 16 Review

English dominate as Italians fail

The final 16 saw holders Manchester United follow Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea into a Quarter Final draw which includes underdogs Villareal and Porto as well as attacking maestros Bayern Munich and Villareal. And don't forget, the draw is now open - meaning anyone can face anyone. We may at last see the dream re-match between Manchester United and Barcelona or we could even see a goalless extravaganza between Villareal and Liverpool (who would use more holding midfielders?)
The two teams who stood out most to me had to be Bayern Munich and Barcelona. They are the teams to avoid. Bayern, in my humble opinion, have the quickest, most incisive side in Europe. This, added to the quality of Ribery, Schweinsteiger, Podolski, Klose, Toni and Lahm, completes a phenomenally under-rated line-up.
Barcelona showed yesterday that they are something like their best again after a few stutter in La Liga. Thierry Henry and Samuel Eto'o are back to their explosive best and Lionel Messi (undoubtedly the greatest footballer of our time) will only get better. The vision and passing of Xavi and Iniesta is also aided by the attacking prowess of the now legendary full back Dani Alves.
Bayern and Barca are the teams to avoid in the final 8. Porto, Villareal and (dare I say) Arsenal are the teams you want to draw. The draw will be made on the 20th March.


Last 16 Highlights

Manchester United vs Inter Milan (2-0) (2-0 agg.)





Barcelona vs Lyon (5-2) (6-3 agg.)



Bayern Munich vs Sporting Lisbon (7-1) (12-1 agg.)



Roma vs Arsenal (1-0) (1-1 agg.)
(No highlights in 120 minutes. Penalties below)



Porto vs Atletico Madrid (0-0) (2-2 agg.)

(No highlights at all.)

Juventus vs Chelsea (2-2) (2-3 agg.)



Liverpool vs Real Madrid (4-0) (5-0)

Wednesday 11 March 2009

Champions League Predictions (11/03/09)

FC Porto vs Atletico Madrid

The first leg saw Atletico twice squander leads to gift Porto the away goals advantage (2-2). Despite this, Atletico still have to be the fancied side to progress in what is sure to be a cagey affair. Much pressure will be on El Comandate (the commander) Lucho Gonzalez to not only drive his team forward mentally, but to try and pick the lock of Atletico's defence. Madrid (the red one) are now known for their "you score 6, we'll score 7" attitude which served them well in the first half of the season. They are now however leaking too many goals for hit-and-miss legend in the making Sergio Aguero and his familiar partner in crime Diego Forlan to convert.
It's all about the Argentines in this game - they'll decide the result. In the blue corner, Lucho Gonzalez and Lisandro Lopez. In the red and white, Maxi Rodriguez and Sergio Aguero. Quality players on show, a tough one to call.

Prediction
1:2 (3:4 agg.)
Atletico Madrid go through

Barcelona vs Lyon

"Attack is the best form of defense" - these the words of Pep Guardiola ahead of a tricky 2nd leg against flamboyant opposition. Lyon played their hearts out in leg 1 and were more than a match for the much favoured Barcelona for the majority of the game. There has been a lot of talk about Barcelona's recent form - two losses in three League games possibly indicating the wheels are wobbly (if not falling off).
Never before has there been so much panic over set-pieces but Guardiola thinks Juninho "has all the time in the world to decide where to put the ball and enough talent to pull it off". I agree. Juninho Pernambucano that is - in case any Middlesbrough fans were wondering. The same Juninho who once said free kicks were "like penalties" for him.
Lyon will be brave but any mistakes and the Nou Camp will swallow them whole. Barcelona may be about to click into gear and give us a masterclass reminiscent of those seen months ago in the group stages.

Prediction
2:0 (3:1 agg.)
Barcelona go through

Roma vs Arsenal

Toure, Nasri, Denilson, Eduardo and Walcott may all feature for Arsenal - though Adebayor misses out. Many experts are giving this game to Roma. They think the Italian outfit are too strong and the hostile Italian crowd will be too imposing. Then again, they said that this time last year when Arsenal faced Milan. Could Theo Walcott's explosive pace off the bench be a critical factor? Eduardo has looked majestic since his return and will be eager to reannounce himself on such a grand stage. Arsenal are resigned to a top 4 shootout in the League this season which has given the Champions League even greater importance. This could be just what the "can't hit the back of a barn door" Arsenal of recent weeks need to shock their season back into life. Remember, Arsenal just have to avoid defeat.

Prediction
1:1 (1:2 agg.)
Arsenal go through

Manchester United vs Inter Milan

5 years and two days ago at Old Trafford. A little known Portugese manager broke United hearts and wasn't afraid to celebrate. Now, Jose Mourinho has become one of Alex Ferguson's greatest rivals. The Scot has only gotten the better of Mourinho once, though he insists that isn't important.
United will regret not securing an away goals advantage after an impressive San Siro display, and a score draw will now put Mourinho's Inter through.
Both teams have defensive worries - though Manchester United have been aided by Rio Ferdinand's passing of a fitness test. O'Shea is set to start in the troubled right-back spot. Inter are without Christian Chivu, Walter Samuel, Marco Materazzi and Nicolas Burdisso. We may then see an Inter back four of Santon, Rivas and Maicon with either Zanetti, Maxwell or Cambiasso filling the final defensive spot (not as weak as Mourinho will have you believe).
Manchester United will look to kill this game off early with a view to possibly resting one of two big guns ahead of the clash vs Liverpool. We may therefore see starts or special guest appearances from Ji-Sung Park, Darren Fletcher, Carlos Tevez, Johnny Evans, Nani and Anderson.

Prediction
1:0 (1:0 agg.)
Manchester United go through

Tuesday 10 March 2009

Champions League Predictions (10/03/09)

Bayern Munich vs Sporting

This tie is as good as over and Sporting have little left to play for but pride. They might not even get that though as the ever-impressive Bayern take a five away goal lead to the Allianz arena. Expect Klinsmann to rest two or three of the top talents and expect Paulo Bento's Sporting to be aggressive from the outset. I said it last time and I'll say it again : expect goals.

Prediction
2:2 (7:2 agg.)
Bayern go through

Juventus vs Chelsea

Claudio Ranieri has called upon Juve's supporters to "intimidate Chelsea" in what could be the to-the-wire game of the round. Chelsea were more than matched by the Italian giants at Stamford Bridge but were fortunate to avoid conceding an all important away goal. Juventus will certainly be favourites on the night but one goal could but the Londoners through.

Prediction
2:1 (2:2 agg.)
Chelsea go through on away goals

Panathinaikos vs Villareal

Possibly the least appealing game to the UK audience - though lovers of old school football may like what they see. This will either break out into a frenzy or slip into a tactical chess style game-play. Panathinaikos' away goals gives the underdogs hope but I can't help thinking Villareal's individual qualities will shine through.

Prediction
0:2 (1:3 agg.)
Villareal go through

Liverpool vs Real Madrid

The tie of the night - on paper. Two of the greatest sides in the competition's history (with one notable big red exclusion) clash in front of the Anfield anything-can-happen crowd with the (slight) underdogs holding a one (away) goal advantage. That away goal could be the key. Liverpool are very hard to beat at home, especially if they make it "one of those European nights" - and that's what Madrid have to do. A draw is no good. The reverse side of the coin says Real may come up against the same Liverpool that deploy two holding midfielders from the offset and is (tentatively) accused of "hoofing" the ball. If that Liverpool turn up (the one that drew at home with Everton, Man City, West Ham and Hull), Madrid will have a field day.

Prediction
0:2 (1:2 agg.)
Real Madrid go through

Sunday 8 March 2009

Manchester United vs Fulham ; FA Cup Highlights, Draw

Manchester United put in another classy performance to shrug of Fulham 4-0 at Craven Cottage. Wayne Rooney and Ji-Sung Park killed the game off after two greatly contrasting first half goals from Carlos Tevez. Ronaldo, Scholes, Berbatov and Giggs were all rested - indicating Sir Alex has one eye on the upcoming Champions League 2nd leg with Inter Milan and another on Liverpool in a week's time. The only problems for Manchester United came in the form of injuries to Rio Ferdinand and John O'Shea. By all accounts, Ferdinand is 50/50 to make the midweek Champions League starting line-up and O'Shea is very unlikely. This leaves a problem in the right back position for United who are already missing Gary Neville,Wes Brown, Owen Hargreaves and Rafael through injury. Saturday's game against Fulham saw young Richard Eckersley finish the game at right back - indicating just how desperate Ferguson is. Perhaps Fabio da Silva will be risked at right back - or maybe Darren Fletcher will be started out of position.

The good news for Manchester United today is that of the FA Cup draw. The Reds avoided both Chelsea and Arsenal/Hull, receiving a home draw vs. Everton.

Full FA Cup Semi-Final Draw

Arsenal/Hull v Chelsea
Man Utd v Everton

A London derby at Wembley looks an exciting proposition, but Hull stand in the Gunners' way. Manchester United fans can continue to dream of a 5 trophy clean sweep.

Catch highlights of all the FA Cup games.
Highlights to look out for;
- Louis Saha's dramatic winner vs 'Boro
- Carlos Tevez's wonder goal vs Fulham
- Eduardo's senational "beach goal" (Wenger's words) vs Burnley
- Drogba powering Hiddink's unbeaten run

Fulham vs Manchester United



Coventry vs Chelsea



Arsenal vs Burnley





Everton vs Middlesbrough